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Re: Interesting WNV Article in Newsday, June 25 2002
Date: Fri, 28 Jun 2002
I wanted to clarify several statements in the article attributed to me.
A better term for the establishment of WNV transmission in Florida would
have been "endemic" instead of ingrained. A more complete statement
about WNV virus in Memphis was that the virus was likely transported
there by southward migratory birds from the northern Midwestern
states (e.g. Ohio, Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin, Indiana) where intense
transmission was occurring, but not carried there by the 40 blue jays and
few crows that were found WNV positive. The jays and crows were more
likely the sensitive indicators of the local virus transmission that
occurred after the virus was taken there and seeded by other bird species into this
metropolitan area along the Mississippi River. The zigzag dissemination
of WNV is what I described, but I do not believe that the virus can make it
to the west coast this year unless and until there are sources of WNV
transmission established (foci) in Central America or Mexico where most
of the west coast migrating birds pass during their northward migration.
We do not have any knowledge about WNV transmission in Central
America or Mexico that I know about at this time, but it could obviously
go undetected there for awhile.
Regardless, this virus strain is disseminating rapidly and has
become established in locations easily even in temperate climates of
the northern states and Canada. As stated by Dr. Berry, reintroduction
to the northern states by migratory birds is likely occurring in addition
to and on top of spring initiation of virus transmission in locally
established foci.
Best regards, Bob
With West Nile virus' rapid colonization of the Midwest and South,
researchers are discovering that infections among new species of
birds and mosquitoes, varying geography and changing weather
patterns are in essence granting one disease multiple personalities.
Although the basic tenets of disease surveillance and control remain
intact, many states have been forced to reconsider past strategies,
as an evolving disease that likely persists in hibernating mosquitoes
and hitches rides with migrating birds has dared public health
officials to keep pace.
Meanwhile, dismayed New York health officials say much of the public
vigilance - and funding - has followed the virus to new frontiers but
flagged closer to home. By June, officials had already
collected infected birds from Albany, Rockland and Nassau counties;
this is the fourth such year the mosquito-borne virus has delivered
its early calling card of dead crows and blue jays. Among most
New Yorkers, however, the news has amounted to little more than an
irksome rite of spring.
"I have to admit that there may be less of a sense or urgency on the
part of the public, and I'm not sure that it's entirely appropriate,"
said state Health Department spokeswoman Kristine Smith. "It's a
combination of people getting used to it, that what we've learned
suggests not as many people are at risk for serious illness as we
first thought, and there are other things to worry about."
Smith said health officials are "extremely concerned" that a lapse in
public vigilance could hinder the state's successful dead-crow
reporting system or hamper other surveillance and education efforts.
Funds for these educational messages have remained reasonably intact
in the state's budget, but the department's laboratory and
surveillance efforts will have to make do with less. Last year, New
York
received $3.9 million in grants from the U.S. Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention for such efforts, but the CDC has announced a
shift in funding toward new states grappling with the virus, and
New York received slightly less than $2 million this year.
Last year, West Nile virus was documented in 27 states and the
District of Columbia. This year, it has already appeared in 14,
including a new foray into eastern Texas.
Dr. Richard Berry, chief of Ohio's vector-borne disease program, said
state officials there had been expecting West Nile's return after the
virus began popping up in Illinois and Michigan earlier this
spring.
"Nevertheless, it is surprising to see it for the first time," he
said of West Nile's regional debut in 2001. "It's a different type of
virus and a different type of epidemiology than we're used to."
Although scientists believe West Nile is slightly less lethal to
humans than St. Louis encephalitis, West Nile has displayed much more
persistence than its North American cousin. Most health officials
agree that the early re-emergence of West Nile throughout the Midwest
and South this spring indicates the virus' ability to survive in
hibernating mosquitoes, a feat first documented in northern Queens
after the 1999 outbreak and likely aided by the succession of
relatively mild winters since then.
"We may be getting a double whammy here with the virus over-wintering
in some species of mosquitoes and it being reintroduced with some
migratory birds," Berry said. Both phenomena may be
contributing to the unprecedented spread of the virus, experts say.
"We expected it to expand, but it really has gone more rapidly than I
had anticipated," said Bob McLean, director of arboviruses at the
U.S. Geological Survey's National Wildlife Health Center in
Madison, Wis. "The alarming thing is that so many new sites have
become sources of the virus. The other big worry is that in places
like Florida it can become really ingrained."
So far, the virus seems to be fulfilling the grim forecast. Although
West Nile activity in Florida peaked in late September, the state
reported infections among horses, birds and sentinel chickens (posted
to detect the virus) through December. Florida officials waited until
Dec. 31 to remove 53 counties from a medical alert.
Ten days later they collected the first West Nile-infected bird of
2002, a wild turkey in the state's panhandle. CDC grants to the state
for increasing lab capacity and surveillance have echoed the concern,
with a jump in funding from $200,000 last year to $1.5 million this year.
Among this year's plans, Florida officials hope to beef up the
state's sentinel chicken surveillance system, which has met with
considerable success, unlike New York's abandoned efforts. Although
used
less heavily in the hard-hit northern part of the state last year,
sentinels tested positive in 20 counties and provided the first
warning of the virus in four.
Florida health officials have been considerably less impressed with
the utility of the dead-crow- density system deemed successful in New
York.
"So far in our analysis, we didn't see the correlation between
density and human risk," said Dr. Lisa Conti, a public health
veterinarian and epidemiologist for the Florida Department of Health.
The
disparity may rest with differences in crow, mosquito and human
populations between the two states, but officials say even New York's
success may be threatened by public apathy or complacency. That
fear has only been heightened by the sagging volume in this year's
calls to state and local dead-bird hotlines.
Other research groups hope participation-independent programs may
provide new surveillance solutions. Bryon Backenson, assistant
director of New York State's arthropod-borne disease program,
said the state has joined forces with a NASA research group and
Oxford University to develop West Nile risk-assessment maps.
Researchers have begun collecting weather and geographic variables
from NASA satellites, such as temperature, precipitation, vegetation
cover and bird migratory routes. New York added its 2001 West
Nile data from bird and mosquito populations. Oxford, with its long
history of using similar data to predict the emergence of other
arthropod-borne diseases such as dengue, has combined the
information to generate maps.
The initial maps appear promising, but Backenson said states may have
to fine-tune their surveillance efforts to account for different
weather patterns and such factors as which mosquito species make
good vectors for the West Nile virus.
McLean, meanwhile, has led a research effort to capture and take
blood and feather samples from about 7,000 migratory birds in the
past three seasons. Originally focused on sites along the Atlantic
Flyway, the researchers have since added trapping sites in Texas and
along the Mississippi River to study the Mississippi Flyway, another
major migration route.
McLean said birds normally molt, or shed their feathers, at their
breeding grounds. The new feathers incorporate the prevailing
minerals and chemicals of the area, creating a signature of sorts from
where they've been. "So if we pull off a feather from a bird in
Florida, and it got the feather in Canada, we can tell that with the
signature," he said. If the bird tests positive for West Nile,
researchers may
begin to get an idea of how - and where - migratory birds may be
spreading the virus. Results are expected later this year, but McLean
already has his suspicions.
"Memphis is a good example," he said. "They didn't get any virus
until mid-September. And all of the sudden they had 40-some positive
birds." Those infected birds, he said, likely came from northern
locales in the Midwest and spread it south as they migrated.
"I suspect the reverse is happening this year," he said. "The birds
are bringing it northward." And since birds have different routes in
the spring and fall, the virus could zigzag throughout the United
States by year's end.
And in New York?
"It's just amazing to me, because of the temperate climate, that the
virus is sticking around," he said. "As we've said before, the virus
is writing new chapters here in the States."
Posted by: Robert G McLean (bob_mclean@usgs.gov)
USGS National Wildlife Health Center
6006 Schroeder Rd.
Madison, WI 53711
(608) 270-2401
(608) 270-2415 fax
bob_mclean@usgs.gov
[Comments refer to the following article published in Newsday June 25, 2002]
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EVOLVING WEST NILE VIRUS: IT'S SHOWING MANY FACES AS IT SPREADS
By Bryn Nelson
STAFF WRITER
June 25, 2002
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